Sunday, September 13, 2020

Crude Oil Breaks Lower - Sparking Fears of Another Sub $30 Price Collapse

Research Highlights....

* Breakdown in Crude Oil sparks talk of sub $30 price 
   targets. 

* Initial support likely near $32 to $33. 

* Predictive Modeling suggests deeper price lows may be 
   reached before November 2020.

Have you been paying attention to Crude Oil recently? Prices have collapsed over -15% from the recent highs near $43.78. You may remember a research article I posted originally in July 2019 suggesting a big breakdown in Crude Oil was going to take place in early 2020 and extreme volatility was likely between February 2020 and April 2020. Our researchers predicted the following within that research article:

“If our ADL predictive modeling is correct, we will see rotation between $47 and $64 over the next 3+ months before a breakdown in price hits in November 2019. This will be followed by two fairly narrow price range months (December 2019 and January 2020) where oil prices will tighten near $45 to $50. After that tightening, we believe an extremely volatile price move will happen in February through April 2020 that could see oil prices trade as low as $22 and as high as $51 over a two to three-month span.”

Then, in early March 2020, we published this follow up article on our Crude Oil predictions. Within that article, we updated our analysis to include the following statement:

“If our research is correct, Crude oil may find a bottom somewhere near $17 to $24, the potential rally back up to somewhere above $37 - 41 ppb before staging another massive selloff. The massive volatility suggested by the ADL system also suggests a broad price range over the next 60+ days.”....Continue Reading Here.



Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Sunday, September 6, 2020

Should You Be Concerned About the Big Downside Rotation in the U.S. Markets?

Research Highlights:

* Don’t panic. Technical Analysis does not confirm a 
   deeper price correction at this time, nor does this appear 
   to be the Bull     Trap we have been warning about… yet.

* We are waiting until next week to see if price confirms 
   any new trend.

* Volatility should decrease if this is just a moderate price rotation.


Is this the “Bull Trap” setup we have been warning about for some time now? Should traders be concerned about deeper downside price trends or a collapse in the markets?

We believe this current downside price rotation is just a well deserved (and somewhat overdue) price rotation related to the recent advance in stock valuations. Currently, the VIX is moving lower and the volume in the markets is suggesting the deepest part of this price move may be over (for now). Bonds are moving lower while precious metals are moderately higher. We don’t believe this current downside price move has any more momentum left – at least headed into the long holiday weekend.

This Daily INDU chart below highlights two key price levels that are acting as support right now, the 27,525 and 26,000 levels. This recent downside price rotation stalled very close to the 27,525 level and began to rally from those lows....Continue Reading Here.



Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Are The U.S. Markets Sending a Warning Sign?

After an incredible rally phase that initiated just one day before the US elections in November 2020, we’ve seen certain sectors rally exten...